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The Earth's climate is variable and has exhibited natural changes over the course of millions of years. Climate research has identified these natural causes, however, for the 20th and 21st centuries, human-induced changes must also be taken into account by scientists. The greenhouse gas CO2 plays an important role here. Its atmospheric concentration has nearly doubled since the onset of industrialization (beginning of the 19th century), through the burning of fossil fuels such as coal and oil. Scientists assume that CO2 concentrations will continue to increase at a similar rate over the coming decades. One of the important achievements of climate research is that of recognizing that these so-called "anthropogenic" CO2 emissions are largely responsible for the global warming that we are observing today.
The oceanic CO2 cycle
Oceans play a key role in the global CO2 cycle. More than half of the (anthropogenic) CO2 produced on an annual basis by humans is currently stored in the oceans for a very long time. How much exactly, for how long, and whether this storage will potentially change in the future is not yet known in detail and is the subject of research.
One reason for the high oceanic CO2 sequestration is an effect of the so-called "thermohaline" circulation. This is a circum-global ocean current that runs through the oceans like a sort of global conveyor belt. In the European Norwegian Sea, the Labrador Sea and close to Antarctica, the surface waters that are very high in salt content cool down in the winter, become heavier and therefore sink to great depths. From there, these waters flow in the direction of the equator, protected from any direct influence from the atmosphere. The cold water masses slowly mix with the warmer layers above and rise slowly while passing through the deep sea. In addition to this mixing effect, the thermohaline circulation can be driven on by the wind (mainly in the southern oceans). The circular flow is accomplished by a compensatory current close to the surface, such as the Gulf Stream, that moves warm water masses back to the northern origins of deep sea water.
The thermohaline circulation is thus composed of a deep current and a current that is close to the surface, and is maintained by cooling at the poles and mixing of water masses in the centre of the oceans. The water close to the surface is cooled down on its way to the poles and sequesters CO2. The CO2 that has thus been taken up is transported to the deep sea by the thermohaline circulation and is only released into the atmosphere again when it reaches the surface of the sea. CO2 can remain in the deep sea for years and even centuries. This effect is also called the "physical CO2 pump" and is the reason why the ocean has to date taken up more than half of the CO2 produced by humans. However this effect will decrease with further increases in atmospheric CO2 concentrations, as the sea water's capacity for additional CO2 sequestration will be reduced with continued increases in CO2.
In addition to this physical CO2 pump, the so-called "biological CO2 pump" also operates in the global CO2 cycle. Only the top 30 to 100 meters of surface water provide sufficient sunlight for photosynthesis in unicellular algae (phytoplankton). However, dead algae sink down out of this zone and take the carbon they have absorbed through photosynthesis to the bottom with them. An enormous carbon reservoir is thereby produced in the deep sea.
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